Wow, talk about a NCAA football game picking hangover from last season. We are turrible as Charles Barkley would say. Maybe third week’s a charm. What’s that Charles?
Weekly Reminder 1: As always, our strategy for most games (we go with our gut occasionally) is pretty simple: Vegas doesn’t like losing money so we go against the overwhelming trends (e.g. when one team has 80% of the public behind it), which leads to many underdog picks because the public is always in love with favorites. Unfortunately, our strategy also incorporates picking UCLA every week because Mr. Rudin went there. We still won somehow.
Weekly Reminder 2: Some of the games on Yahoo show the spread as “off”, which means a spread has not been assigned. Yahoo makes those games an even line. We won’t be making picks for those in this column. Our picks will appear here in a weekly column on Thursday mornings until season’s end or the time where we realize that our picks have become so putrid that they become embarrassing to post, whichever comes first.
CONNECTICUT +10.5 at VIRGINIA
82% of people on Yahoo picked Virginia. Vegas does not like losing money.
OKLAHOMA STATE -13.5 at PITTSBURGH
Beware. We’re violating our Vegas rule because the Pokes are that underrated this season.
AIR FORCE +24 at MICHIGAN
Air Force bleeds the clock. They’ll lose by double digits but cover the spread.
KANSAS +7.5 vs. OHIO
Kansas is not good, but more than a touchdown underdog to Ohio?
UCLA -3 at MEMPHIS
Ugh. The RW rule of UCLA strikes again.
BOSTON COLLEGE +13.5 vs. NOTRE DAME
It’s looking like another good year to bet against Notre Dame.
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE +10.5 vs. MINNESOTA
86% of people on Yahoo picked Minnesota. Vegas does not like losing money.
FLORIDA -5 vs. TENNESSEE
Florida is highly underrated too. Get ready for them to start rolling.
SMU + 19 at TCU
86% of people on Yahoo picked TCU. Vegas does not like losing money. Plus, the 30 for 30 on SMU, Pony Excess, was great.
BYU +20 at WISCONSIN
80% of people on Yahoo picked Wisconsin. Vegas can’t like losing money, right?
PURDUE +7.5 at MISSOURI
We could have gone either way on this game but think Purdue losing by a TD sounds about right, so we’ll take that extra 1/2 a point.
OHIO STATE -30 vs. ARMY
Pissed off Urban Meyer alert.
TOLEDO -9.5 vs. TULSA
Maybe we like saying “Holy Toledo” too much?
MISSISSIPPI STATE +7.5 vs. LSU
83% of people on Yahoo picked LSU. The public is going to get hammered this week. Vegas baby.
WYOMING +14 vs. OREGON
86% of the public on Oregon. This one seems too easy.
LOUISIANA TECH +7 at WESTERN KENTUCKY
78% of people on Yahoo picked Western Kentucky. Vegas doesn’t want to lose on Louisiana Tech back to back weeks, right?
KENTUCKY +7 at SOUTH CAROLINA
86% of the public is with the Gamecocks. We like Kentucky even without that added incentive.
VANDERBILT +3.5 at KANSAS STATE
82% of people on Yahoo picked Kansas State. This is the week that we turn everything around!
NEW MEXICO STATE +7 vs. TROY
New Mexico State was one of the few teams not to let us down last week. We’re staying loyal.
RICE +22.5 at HOUSTON
83% of you are on Houston. Like clockwork.
ARIZONA STATE+7.5 at TEXAS TECH
81% of the public is on Texas Tech, probably because of how Ryan Gosling their coach is.
LOUISVILLE +3 vs. CLEMSON
Battle of the overrated contenders. We’ll take the team with its amazing QB from last season still on its team.
USC -15 vs. TEXAS
Texas got a confidence booster last week. This week? Not so much.
MISSISSIPPI-3.5 at CALIFORNIA
We’re still not sold on Cal.
SAN DIEGO STATE +9.5 vs. STANFORD
90% of people on Yahoo picked Stanford. Viva Las Vegas baby.
LAST WEEK: 7-17
SEASON: 11-31
Greetings! I’ve been reading your site for a while now and finally got the bravery to go ahead and give you a shout out from Lubbock Texas! Just wanted to mention keep up the good job!|